ANALYSIS: We know the election poll numbers, but we can’t predict the turnout

With a variety of polls coming to very different conclusions ahead of the local elections, there is no clear, predictable outcome in many important metros. This means it may be vital to examine the factors that could drive turnout on 4 November to examine what impact they could have on who will hold power in places like Joburg, eThekwini and Tshwane.