2026 Ballon d’Or: Rankings of players to finish in top 10 revealed

The players who have the best chances to finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d’Or have been revealed.

According to Kalshi, the trio of Harry Kane (England/Bayern Munich), Lamine Yamal (Spain/Barcelona) and Kylian Mbappe (France/Real Madrid) have the highest chances.

Rodri (Spain/Barcelona), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Georgia/PSG) and Lionel Messi (Argentina/Inter Miami) are also likely to finish among the final five.

PSG’s Ousmane Dembele is the current holder of the prize and this year’s winner will be announced on October 26 in London, UK.

Chances to finish Top-10 in the 2026 Ballon d’Or:

99% — Kane, Yamal, Mbappe

94% — Rodri

93% — Kvaratskhelia

92% — Messi

86% — Olise

83% — Dembele

72% — Haaland

66% — Fabián Ruiz

38% — Bellingham

31% — Cubarsi

17% — Rice

16% — Neves

11% — Hakimi

10% — Cucurella

2026 Ballon d’Or: Rankings of players to finish in top 10 revealed