As political pressure mounts in Madrid over the July 30–31 2026 mass crossings into Ceuta, the Spanish border and migration center (CENIF) report continues to circulate without any official reaction from Morocco to the scandalous methodological amateurism that anti-Moroccan circles in Spain have eagerly amplified.
The 55-page analysis, prepared for a National Court judge, relies overwhelmingly on unverified social media posts, messaging-app activity, publicly shared videos, and media interviews with participants.
CENIF analysts- working remotely from Spain and not present on the ground during the chaotic events- interpreted images of individuals in or near uniforms and civilian clothing as evidence of “active guiding” by Moroccan gendarmes and “total permissiveness.”
Morocco’s interior ministry had made it clear that the country was faithful to its commitment in managing migration and border control, while highlighting the role of traffickers, social media disinformation and the pull factor created by a court ruling annulling immediate return for arrivals by sea.
The report concedes that this open-source material “does not allow determining the possible involvement and responsibility” at higher levels.
No intercepted communications, no internal Moroccan orders, no financial trails, and no direct eyewitness testimony from Spanish officers on the scene are cited to elevate these observations into proof of a directed state operation.
Independent analysts described the report as a textbook remote desk analysis dressed up as intelligence.
Compilers who were nowhere near the Tarajal jetty or the approaches from Fnideq on those days reconstructed a narrative of “prior planning” and tactical waves from digital fragments that any online observer could access.
Photographs of roughly 32 people are presented as identification of agents without independent verification of ranks, chains of command, or instructions issued.
Gestures in a dense, fast-moving crowd of tens of thousands are labeled strategic direction!
The rapid return of around 90 percent of those who entered is noted but not allowed to disrupt the preferred framing of a hybrid pressure campaign aimed at collapsing Spanish controls and advancing territorial claims.
Spanish National Police Director General Francisco Pardo has already stated that no police report attributes the planning or execution of the crossings to Moroccan security forces in the strong terms pushed by certain outlets.
Yet anti-Moroccan circles in Spanish politics and media have seized on the selective leaks to portray Rabat as the architect of an assault on Spanish sovereignty.
These voices systematically downplay documented pull factors- the Spanish Supreme Court ruling restricting immediate sea returns, the explosive online spread of distorted information, and the opportunistic activity of smuggling networks- while elevating an incomplete open-source dossier into near-certainty of Moroccan state design.
