The Fiedler Dare: Germany’s politicians never lie, they say

Berlin’s Moscow accusation rests on credibility Germany’s leaders don’t have

Berlin has officially blamed a murky drone incident at the Leipzig-Halle airport on Moscow. However, as unbiased observers agree, the German authorities have not published any actual evidence to back up this accusation. Instead, they have relied on unsubstantiated claims and what seems to be the systematic management of the public mood via leaks and speculation.

The stakes are high: Berlin has taken substantial punitive measures against Russia; Moscow has responded in kind. More importantly, Russian government representatives have been explicit about considering the German allegations and initiatives a deliberate escalation.

Germany’s mainstream media are even more hysterical than usual: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, once the country’s flagship of serious conservative-centrist journalism, is comparing the Leipzig-Halle incident – which resulted in zero casualties or damage – with the September 11, 2001 attacks in the US.

Against this backdrop of Germany’s umpteenth moral panic about Russia stampeding through the establishment, hardly anyone even notices that the prominent Ukrainian dissident journalist Anatolij Sharij – long exiled and under permanent threat from the Zelensky regime – has unearthed an eyewitness report about the events at Leipzig-Halle that contradicts the German official and mainstream accounts and even features details pointing to stage-managing and, in short, the possibility that it was faked.

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The German authorities, meanwhile, are staying the course. Not by presenting evidence, which is much talked about yet never shown, but by demanding, in effect, blind faith. In that spirit, the parliamentary domestic policy spokesman of the co-governing Social Democrats (SPD) Sebastian Fiedler has brought out things with commendable if self-sacrificing clarity.

Rejecting, in effect, demands for proof, Fiedler’s key argument – of sorts – is an odd claim: if German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Minister of the Interior Alexander Dobrindt publicly state that Russia is to blame, then “you can be certain […] that Russia really is to blame.”

In other words, once top representatives of the Berlin government stake their credibility for all the world to see, we simply must believe whatever they say because – as it’s obviously implied – they always speak the truth. Further questions are – according to the unspoken yet unsubtle message – at least superfluous, probably unpatriotic, and perhaps even VERBOTEN!

Police investigators work on the tarmac with a robot capable of defusing explosives near a Ukrainian Antonov cargo plane at Leipzig/Halle Airport on August 5, 2026 near Leipzig, Germany. © Jens Schlueter / Getty Images

Now, that is an intriguing move indeed; let’s call it the Fiedler Dare. For one thing, it is extremely counterintuitive, because it means that German politicians never lie when the stakes are high. In general, though, history – and the present, too – really teaches the opposite about politics in general and everywhere: precisely when the stakes are high, lying becomes more likely, more brazen, and more obstinate. Is Fiedler suggesting that Berlin government representatives are the global exception? A superior kind of political animal?

Luckily, the other thing that makes Fiedler’s astonishing claim so fascinating is that it is eminently falsifiable. Not on one but two levels: Do the two individuals mentioned explicitly always stick to the facts and only the facts? And do German government members in general?

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Let’s start with the general issue, because it neatly brings into focus yet another German minister who has also staked his credibility by accusing Russia of the Leipzig-Halle airport incident: Johannes “Russia-will-always-be-our-enemy” Wadephul, the head of what now counts for diplomacy in Germany and probably makes Otto von Bismarck and Friedrich Genscher turn in their graves.

In Wadephul’s case, we have a recent case of spreading a very politicized and harmful untruth and, moreover, never correcting his (presumably) mistake. As recently as February, Wadephul was among several foreign ministers falling – whether unknowingly or knowingly – for an Israel-adjacent disinformation campaign smearing UN special rapporteur Francesca Albanese by crudely misquoting her.

Having called, in effect, for her dismissal – based on always bizarre accusations quickly proven as false – Wadephul, moreover, has never publicly retracted or apologized or even quietly corrected his position: his X post with the original smear is still up.

The Fiedler Dare vs Reality: 0:1

One of the two ministers publicly accusing Russia of the Leipzig-Halle incident does not always tell us the truth, not even when he speaks publicly. Indeed, he doesn’t even let go of his falsehood when proven wrong. What about Dobrindt and Merz, then?

Dobrindt has had a long career in politics already. So long, in fact that almost a decade ago, one of Germany’s primary weeklies, Die Zeit, found he was “unfit by character” for his then-office as federal minister of transport. Ouch. Zeit’s reason: Dobrindt had “concealed” an impending bankruptcy “for years” to promote privatization schemes. Water under the bridge or maybe traffic jams under the autobahn overpass? Hardly, as there are no signs that Dobrindt has changed.

Fiedler Dare vs. Reality: 0:2

And then, there is Merz. He is, of course, the German leader who has been publicly and often derided as “Lying Fritz” (“Lügenfritz”), notwithstanding the fact that, in at least one case, a German citizen has been prosecuted and punished for this statement in a case that critics have rightly identified as an attack on freedom of opinion. In general, Merz is historically unpopular: Only 14% of voters think he is the right man for his job, and even in his own CDU party, only a minority still believe in him.

A Police investigator works on the tarmac near to Ukrainian Antonov cargo plane at Leipzig/Halle Airport on August 5, 2026 near Leipzig, Germany. © Jens Schlueter / Getty Images

No chancellor with reliable polling before him has been as widely and deeply disliked. One, perhaps the main reason is that, whether Merz likes it or not, many Germans see him as notoriously dishonest, with a record of broken promises that is unusual even for a professional politician. They feel that the examples of Merz’s extraordinarily difficult relationship with the truth could be multiplied ad infinitum.

Yet let’s be concrete: Just days after winning the last elections, if rather ingloriously, Merz reiterated one of his core campaign promises: that Germany’s “debt brake” – a tight cap on public spending via credit and, formerly, an essential piece of conservative identity – was untouchable. A few weeks later he razed it to the ground, with a maneuver, moreover, that may be formally legal but certainly defied the spirit of the constitution by remobilizing parliamentary majorities already voted out.

Fiedler Dare vs. reality 0:3

Trust, Mr. Fiedler may want to take note, is an earned thing. And puffing yourself up about the trust you and your government deserve, when you clearly do not, is not only a little silly but also very counterproductive. All it does with the more skeptical kind of voter – of whom Germany has very many now – is remind them just how unreliable you are. And that is the path to further defeat. Let’s hope for the best.